Best Motion Picture, Drama
Avatar
The Hurt Locker
Inglorious Bastards
Precious
Up in the Air
I only saw Up in the Air and Inglorious Bastards, but I really liked both movies and I've heard wonderful things about all of these. I can't believe Avatar is going to make a billion dollars... that's insane. And I still have absolutely no desire to see that movie, at least until it's on TV or something. Just not my type of movie.
Will win: Up in the Air
Backup: Precious
Best Motion Picture, Comedy/Musical
500 Days of Summer
The Hangover
It's Complicated
Julie & Julia
Nine
Hey, I've seen three of these (hopefully I'll see the other two soon because I really want to!). They were all pretty good to very good, but The Hangover might have been the funniest movie I ever saw. Seriously, it's hilarious. That said, normally I'd think Nine would be a lock here despite the lukewarm reviews because the Globes are obsessed with musicals, but It's Complicated got a screenplay nomination so... hmm. I wouldn't be surprised if either of those won, really.
Will win: It's Complicated
Backup: Nine
Best Director
Kathryn Bigelow, The Hurt Locker
James Cameron, Avatar
Clint Eastwood, Invictus
Jason Reitman, Up in the Air
Quentin Tarantino, Inglorious Bastards
Quentin Tarantino is a badass, the Globes (and Oscars) are in love with Clint Eastwood, Up in the Air is terrific, and hey look a girl!
Will win: Kathryn Bigelow, The Hurt Locker (a girl!!!!)
Backup: Clint Eastwood, Invictus
Best Screenplay
District 9
The Hurt Locker
Inglorious Bastards
It's Complicated
Up in the Air
When I saw Up in the Air, I was really impressed with the screenplay. Inglorious Bastards had the usual Tarantino awesomeness. District 9's screenplay was wayyyyy too obvious with the apartheid thing.
Will win: Up in the Air
Backup: It's Complicated
Best Actor, Drama
Jeff Bridges, Crazy Heart
George Clooney, Up in the Air
Colin Firth, A Single Man
Morgan Freeman, Invictus
Tobey Maguire, Brothers
Clooney rocked but I didn't see any of the others. I feel like I've heard the best things about Bridges and Firth but they're not the usual winners the starfucking Globes go for.
Will win: Clooney
Backup: Firth
Best Actor, Musical/Comedy
Matt Damon, The Informant!
Daniel Day-Lewis, Nine
Robert Downey Jr., Sherlock Holmes
Joseph Gordon Levitt, 500 Days of Summer
Michael Stuhlbarg, A Serious Man
No idea who's going to win this. Eh, let's go with the living legend. Who sings!
Will win: Day-Lewis
Backup: Downey Jr.
Best Actress, Drama
Emily Blunt, The Young Victoria
Sandra Bullock, The Blind Side
Helen Mirren, The Last Station
Carey Mulligan, An Education
Gabourey Sidibe, Precious
Ewwwww Emily Blunt. I get the feeling that a lot of people have been waiting forever to hand Bullock an award of some kind. It's the Julia Roberts in Erin Brockovich thing.
Will win: Bullock
Backup: Sidibe
Best Actress, Musical/Comedy
Sandra Bullock, The Proposal
Marion Cotillard, Nine
Julia Roberts, Duplicity
Meryl Streep, It's Complicated
Meryl Streep, Julie & Julia
How many Globe nominations does Meryl Streep have?! And did anyone actually see Duplicity?
Will win: Meryl Streep, It's Complicated
Backup: the other Streep nomination
Best Supporting Actor
Matt Damon, Invictus
Woody Harrelson, The Messenger
Christopher Plummer, The Last Station
Stanley Tucci, The Lovely Bones
Christoph Waltz, Inglorious Bastards
I only saw one of these movies... but Waltz has been getting hype since Cannes. Awesome.
Will win: Waltz
Backup: Damon?
Best Supporting Actress
Penelope Cruz, Nine
Vera Farmiga, Up in the Air
Anna Kendrick, Up in the Air
Mo'Nique, Precious
Julianne Moore, A Single Man
Correct me if I'm wrong but I get the feeling that Mo'Nique is gonna win this (and piss everyone off because how dare a larger-than-average-Hollywood-size black woman win anything!!! See Jennifer Hudson, 2006) and everyone else shouldn't even bother to show up.
Will win: Mo'Nique
Backup: Cruz?
That was just an awful prediction list because I've seen like three of these movies, apologies.
