During the first week of the cycle, I was like 95% sure Jennifer was gonna win. I'd still pick her today, but I think the other girls are strong contenders too. So... I guess I'll explain why I think the remaining girls could win, and why I think they could lose it.
ERIN
Why she might: She's been a really strong model throughout the competition. The judges seem to really dislike her the past couple of weeks... but she's still on the show. She got the most extensive makeover and the judges love keeping those girls around. She has personality issues, but her overcoming them could be a part of her winners' edit, though this seems kinda doubtful at this point.
Why she might not: Bad edit. Falling out of the judges' favor even with good photos. Personality issues.
JENNIFER
Why she might: She's Asian! The judges love her and even with bad photos, she gets good call-outs. She's been edited quite positively. She has an "issue" to overcome with her lazy eye.
Why she might not: Her portfolio is quite weak compared to other girls'. She doesn't have any first call-outs outside of the commercial.
LAURA
Why she might: Great edit. Judges like her. Tons of personality.
Why she might not: Compared to girls like Erin or Nicole, her portfolio is just not great. She is much less consistent.
NICOLE
Why she might: The judges love her. She's the most consistent model, and her portfolio is great. Her call-out average is extremely high. Her edit seems decent, going from the weirdo outsider to a confident model.
Why she might not: It's ANTM, girls this good (usually) don't win. She really doesn't look like a model in person and the judges usually love to harp on that, so... I'm fully expecting them to bring it up randomly at some point. She's actually taller than Eva, and I don't think they want the winner of the short cycle to be taller than the winner of an actual cycle. Lack of personality? I'm kind of surprised they haven't brought that up yet...
SUNDAI
Why she might: Despite the fact that the judges don't really love her, she's still here over girls that were much better models, with better portfolios and more potential. Good backstory and great personality. She's the shortest here, and you know the judges kind of want the shortest girl to win the short girl cycle.
Why she might not: The judges don't really like her. Like, I'm pretty sure several eliminated girls have better call-out averages than her. Yikes. And everyone knows black girls can only win every third cycle!
As for my predictions...
5. Sundai
4. Laura
3. Erin
2. Nicole
1. Jennifer
I think I read there will be a F4 double elimination but... I also might be just making that up? I actually think Nicole will be one of the two to go home in the double elimination, with Laura or Erin leaving with her. The other girl will be in the F2, but Jennifer will win. I wouldn't be surprised to see Sundai in the F2, either... I really think the only situation that would surprise me at this point would be Nicole or Jennifer leaving next week.
