BEST PICTURE
1. Slumdog Millionaire
2. Milk
3. The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
4. The Reader
5. Frost/Nixon
I want to have some guts and say The Reader above Curious Case, but nah... I also want to say none of these are out for good but with Slumdog's dominance of award season that sounds stupid.
BEST DIRECTOR
1. Danny Boyle
2. Stephen Daldry
3. David Fincher
4. Gus Van Sant
5. Ron Howard
I can't really see anyone but Boyle winning this category. Daldry is above Fincher because they clearly love him, but clearly don't like Fincher all that much.
BEST ACTOR
1. Mickey Rourke
2. Sean Penn
3. Frank Langella
4. Brad Pitt
5. Richard Jenkins
It's gonna be Rourke or Penn. I seriously doubt anyone else is sneaking in here... there's NO passion for anyone besides those two. Langella doesn't look like a likely dark horse at all.
BEST ACTRESS
1. Kate Winslet
2. Meryl Streep
3. Melissa Leo
4. Anne Hathaway
5. Angelina Jolie
I fear calling the #1 a lock here, or even predicting her. Supposedly Leo is gaining hype as the third-placer as opposed to Hathaway, who couldn't even win the ISA! HAH! Good on you for not giving Rachel Getting Married anything, ISA. :)
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
1. Heath Ledger
2. Philip Seymour Hoffman
3. Robert Downey Jr.
4. Josh Brolin
5. Michael Shannon
No need to predict anyone other than Heath...
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
1. Penelope Cruz
2. Viola Davis
3. Taraji P. Henson
4. Marisa Tomei
5. Amy Adams
This is one I can see going any way, though I do think the #1 girl is out in front. I only moved TPH up - she'd normally be my easy #5 here - because Nate over at 538 predicted her and you do not bet against Nate from 538.
BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
1. Milk
2. Wall-E
3. In Bruges
4. Frozen River
5. Happy-Go-Lucky
I can see #2 or #3 upsetting very easily, though I do think Milk has this if nothing else. The bottom two are out of the running, I think.
BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
1. Slumdog Millionaire
2. The Reader
3. The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
4. Frost/Nixon
5. Doubt
I'm telling you, people, "Jai Ho," get used to hearing it. Jai hooooo... jai hoooo...
I am SO EXCITED for tonight. And yes I realize this makes me ~shallow~ and that there are ~better things to care about in today's times~, but what can I say, I love the movies. Nobody gets on anyone's case for being all excited about the Super Bowl; why are so many people up my ass for loving the Oscars? I'll be back sometime tonight or tomorrow with all my thoughts and whatnot. :)
