Here are this year's nominees. If the order of this list seems weird, I'm just going by that.
Best Supporting Actress: Rosemarie DeWitt in Rachel Getting Married. I think Penelope might be a little too mainstream-y for them here, and they always like showing how ~~edgy~~ (but not really because they are totally predictable) they are.
Best Supporting Actor: James Franco in Milk. Like I said... they're ~~edgy~~, but they're not that edgy.
Best Director: Jonathan Demme for Rachel Getting Married. I think it's going to clean up and that's actually kind of unfortunate, because the film furthers some of the worst "stereotypes" about tiny indie movies. Alternatively, Courtney Hunt could win for Frozen River so they could be like, "Look! We gave the award to a girl!!! We are so ~~edgy~~!!!!!!!!"
Best Screenplay: Vicky Cristina Barcelona. The only other one I could see upsetting here is Synecdoche, New York.
Best First Screenplay: Milk. This was a tough call. I wouldn't be surprised if Rachel Getting Married won this, because it is indie and pretentious, and by a girl. Maybe Frozen River too.
There are a lot of other categories I don't really care about, so blah blah blah...
Best First Feature: Synecdoche, New York. Are you kidding? It's Charlie Kaufman. The ISAs may be ~~edgy~~ but who the heck has heard of any of these other movies?
Best Actor: Sean Penn in Milk. I think this group is going to love the hell out of Milk.
Best Actress: I can't tell if Anne Hathaway in Rachel Getting Married is ~~edgy~~ enough for them. I mean, the film is ~~edgy~~ in the way that the ISAs are, but Anne Hathaway is OMG famous. I think I'll predict Melissa Leo in Frozen River here, but wouldn't be surprised with either woman.
Best Picture: Rachel Getting Married, meh. I hope there's an upset here.
