major categories only. and even then, not director/screenplay, because i am lazy.
best picture
locks
the departed
the queen
dreamgirls
not locks, but very very likely
babel
very probable, but i still don't buy it as a lock
little miss sunshine
way less probable than the above, wouldn't be shocking
united 93
letters from iwo jima
flags of our fathers
vote siphoners
children of men
pan's labyrinth
volver
little children
the good shepherd
the pursuit of happyness
bobby
world trade center
blood diamond
best actor
locks
forrest whittaker
peter o'toole
not a lock, very likely
leonardo dicaprio (departed)
who knows how this category will go...
will smith
ryan gosling
sacha baron cohen
leonardo dicaprio (blood diamond)
aaron eckart
vote siphoners
clive owen
edward norton
matt damon
ken watanabe
patrick wilson
daniel craig
best actress
locks
helen mirren
meryl streep
judi dench
not quite a lock, but pretty much
kate winslet
penelope cruz
if any of those 5 don't make it, i'll be shocked, but the most likely usurpers:
maggie gyllenhaal
renee zellweger
beyonce
naomi watts
gretchen mol
vote siphoners
laura dern
kirsten dunst
nicole kidman
sienna miller
best supporting actor
locks
eddie murphy
jack nicholson
god this is tough to call!!!
brad pitt
djimon hounsou
mark wahlberg
jackie earle haley
michael sheen
alan arkin
ben affleck (he might be dead in the water though)
vote siphoners
adam beach
stanley tucci
steve carell
bill nighy
michael caine (for either the prestige or children of men)
best supporting actress
locks
jennifer hudson
cate blanchett
rinko kikuchi
very very likely
adriana barraza
likely
abigail breslin
hey, it could happen...
catherine o'hara
emily blunt
vera farmiga
emma thompson
shareeka epps
maggie gyllenhaal
vote siphoners
angelina jolie
the supporting ladies of the queen
maria bello
meryl streep (prairie home companion)
good god, if you go 5/5 in supporting actor you should be worshipped.
