oh yeah, these are happening too. Here are my half-assed guesses as to who will win. Note: haven't seen (this is embarassing) American Gun, The Dead Girl, Stephanie Daley, Steel City, Sorry Haters, Wristcutters: A Love Story, Man Push Cart, Land of Plenty, Sweet Land and all of the documentaries/films nominated for Best Cinematography outside of Pan's Labyrinth.
Best Feature: Little Miss Sunshine
Best Director: Jonathan Dayton and Valerie Faris for Little Miss Sunshine
Best Actor: Ryan Gosling for Half Nelson
Best Actress: Shareeka Epps for Half Nelson
Best Supporting Actor: Alan Arkin for Little Miss Sunshine
Best Supporting Actress: Frances McDormand for Friends with Money
Best Screenplay: Thank You for Smoking
Best First Screenplay: Little Miss Sunshine
Best First Feature: Man Push Cart
Aaand that's all I feel like predicting. Yeah, it's really skewed toward two or so films. But remember, last year they didn't exactly go all that contrary to Oscar...Brokeback Mountain, Crash, and Capote cleaned up well.